Profile For Brett Aquila

Brett Aquila's Info

  • Location:
    Keeseville, NY

  • Driving Status:
    Experienced Driver

  • Social Link:
    Brett Aquila On The Web

  • Joined Us:
    13 years, 1 month ago

Brett Aquila's Bio

Hey Everyone! I'm the owner and founder of TruckingTruth and a 15 year trucking veteran.

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Posted:  8 hours, 18 minutes ago

View Topic:

Is it a good time to start trucking right now, with the whole corona thing happening?

despite my frustrations with the delays, I actually feel more optimistic that this a good time to get into trucking.

If you've lost your job or you're ready for a career change I can't think of a better industry to get started in right now than trucking. Trucks must keep moving no matter what. When the economy takes a big hit, it's the smaller players that will get pushed aside.

We never recommend being an owner-operator or lease operator, and really good small companies are few and far between. It's always best to bet on the major carriers, and never is that more true than in tough times. They'll keep their trucks moving and they'll weather the storm.

We have never shut down our entire economy like this. Never once in history has this happened. We've taken a wrecking ball to everything. I'm not sure where you can turn except work-from-home software or trucking, and even parts of trucking will take a massive hit.

Posted:  10 hours, 2 minutes ago

View Topic:

Is it a good time to start trucking right now, with the whole corona thing happening?

Brett, do you have something against ME personally? Have I done something to offend or rub you off the wrong way?

Absolutely not.

This person asked if they should go into trucking right now or not. Moe, your exact reply was:

Wait until Corona passes, trucking will always be here.

So you told them not to go into trucking right now. There are a few things to understand about the current scenario.

For one, tens of millions of people have lost their jobs or businesses already. Many of them either will not qualify for unemployment benefits or won't be able to live off of them. I know the government is talking a good game with this stimulus package, but it won't be nearly enough and won't arrive soon enough for many people. So people need to get to work as soon as possible.

The other thing to understand is that trucking is still going strong for many companies, and the major carriers will continue to run strong. They must. They have fleets of many hundreds or even thousands of trucks. They can't just park them. They can't just turn them in somewhere and say, "Oh well, freight is slow. We don't need these trucks anymore." They must do all they can to keep their trucks moving.

Not only that, but this is a huge opportunity for any business in any industry that has strong financing and can withstand some losses to gain a huge advantage over their weaker competition and expand their business. The largest companies didn't get that way by cowering in fear when times got tough. They became aggressive and beat their competition with strong, savvy business moves.

No matter how slow our economy gets, millions of trucks will keep moving all the time. They must, or our entire population will starve and run out of essential materials for rebuilding, repairs, and production of essential goods. The major carriers are the ones who will continue to run strong in this environment. It's the tiny companies like the single owner-operators or companies with fewer than maybe 5 or 10 trucks that may not have the financial strength, flexibility, or business savvy to survive this. Some of them will turn their trucks over to the bank and hang it up.

It's certainly not impossible to see some larger carriers fold, also. Sometimes even major players put themselves in a vulnerable position financially at the worst possible time. A big downturn hits and they get caught with their pants down. It's game over for them.

But the majority of trucks will keep moving no matter what, and the overwhelming majority of major carriers will continue to run strong in any environment. So you certainly can get into trucking right now. Not all forms of trucking will run strong, but there will certainly be plenty who do.

Posted:  10 hours, 21 minutes ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

I said at the beginning I sense one of the greatest financial opportunities in my lifetime developing in this. I still see that and am acting accordingly. If a dumb blue-collar truck driver can see that, then whoever is behind this certainly has a huge financial incentive in what they're doing. I don't know where we are heading with all this, but somebody holding the strings in this puppet show stands to gain either some real power, or money, and probably both.

This is what more and more people are beginning to realize. Publicly almost everyone is saying the right things, the safe things. That's because most people aren't true leaders. Politicians aren't true leaders. Leaders don't just say whatever it takes to make themselves popular. True leaders will tell you exactly what you need to know and make decisions based on doing what's right, especially when it's unpopular or misunderstood.

Privately, almost everyone I talk to has been thinking for a while that there is more going on here than just a virus but they're afraid to say so. I get that. Most people have little to gain by voicing this opinion. They'd rather get along with the crowd than try to lead the crowd and risk alienating themselves or taking the heat for having an unpopular opinion.

I don't have a ton of time this morning to dedicate to this, but I have enough to get some thoughts out there.

The idea of having everyone stay home/6 feet apart and such is to prevent the spread of the virus. People who do contract the virus might feel fine for several days before they "come down" with it. In those five days the chances jump up for its spread, even though the "sick" person still feels fine and doesn't realize they might be helping to spread the virus. So the effort to get people to say inside is a way to eliminate one way the disease gets transmitted.

Again, great theory, but in practice, especially the way we're practicing it, it doesn't work. A virus is a force of nature. The only way you can truly stop it is 100% isolation, which is obviously impossible. Otherwise, stopping a virus is like stopping the rain or the wind or the ocean tides. It spreads through the air and on physical objects. The theory that we'll bring our lives and our economy to a dead halt to prevent this from spreading clearly isn't working.

If this virus was truly, truly dangerous in the way that we're reacting to it, many millions would already be dead. Many millions.

It's interesting how many people recite back what the news tells us without thinking about their own experiences or looking into the facts for themselves.

That is if you are catching the strand that is causing pneumonia-like symptoms.

All flu-type viruses can lead to pneumonia. In fact, the main reason people "die from the flu," which almost no one does, is because the flu can lead to pneumonia which is far more deadly. Here are some quotes from articles that were written long before coronavirus:

How Does the Flu Become Pneumonia?

While many sick with the flu tend to recover within two weeks, some people can develop complications.

One of those complications can lead to pneumonia. According to Everyday Health, one-third of pneumonia cases develop from a respiratory virus, with the flu the most common of those.

Even if you’ve only contracted a mild case of influenza, the infection can severely weaken your immune system. Keep in mind that the virus even keeps your body from correctly taking in air.

According to Shape, the flu constricts and inflames the airways in your body. This would then, “slow down the movement of air and hinder your ability to clear mucus and secretions.” This inflammation can cause an increase in your body’s mucus production.

A buildup of bacteria would then form in your healthy body. Although the body would usually be able to fight the buildup away, influenza changes that. With a weakened immune system, your body may not be able to get over the foreign bacteria and viruses.

This is how those with influenza can easily turn their flu into something much worse — pneumonia.

Now this is from another article What Is The Connection Between Influenza and Pneumonia?

Influenza (flu) is a highly contagious viral infection that is one of the most severe illnesses of the winter season. Influenza is spread easily from person to person, usually when an infected person coughs or sneezes.

Pneumonia is a serious infection or inflammation of the lungs. The air sacs fill with pus and other liquid, blocking oxygen from reaching the bloodstream. If there is too little oxygen in the blood, the body's cells cannot work properly, which can lead to death.

Influenza is a common cause of pneumonia, especially among younger children, the elderly, pregnant women, or those with certain chronic health conditions or who live in a nursing home. Most cases of flu never lead to pneumonia, but those that do tend to be more severe and deadly. In fact, flu and pneumonia were the eighth leading cause of death in the United States in 2016.

Again, none of this is new or unique to this virus. I'm looking into many different things related to this virus right now. I'll have more information soon.

Posted:  1 day, 11 hours ago

View Topic:

Is it a good time to start trucking right now, with the whole corona thing happening?

Moe, the major carriers are all going strong and still hiring in a big way. I understand you're panicked about all this, but we don't agree with your position. Please stop telling people to avoid trucking. You can do so privately if you like, but not here. There is no reason for people to avoid trucking. They desperately need jobs. Tens of millions of Americans have suffered layoffs in the past few weeks and trucking has a lot of work available. So our position is to encourage people to get their career going now if they can find an opportunity.

Posted:  2 days, 1 hour ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

A large part of reducing mortalities will be slowing the spread, because when the hospitals are past capacity, more people will necessarily die without proper care.

That's a great theory. It's what they're hoping people will believe. Unfortunately, there's little or no evidence that it's true. There's nothing a hospital can really do except put you on oxygen and hope for the best. There are no cures. It's a virus. There's also no evidence that they've even slowed the spread of the virus, and they certainly haven't stopped it.

Here is a heatmap showing cases around the world. Does it look like we've stopped anything? Certainly not. The reality is that we've only detected a very tiny number of actual infections because of extremely limited testing. The infections are far, far more prevalent than the numbers indicate, making this virus far less deadly than they try to convince us.

0365449001585935125.jpg

Here are the symptoms of the flu and coronavirus side-by-side...you tell me which is which:

  • Symptom list #1

    • Fever
    • Cough
    • Sore throat
    • Runny nose
    • Tiredness
    • Body Aches
    • Shortness of breath or difficulty breathing
  • Symptom list #2

    • fever* or feeling feverish/chills
    • cough
    • sore throat
    • runny or stuffy nose
    • fatigue (tiredness)
    • muscle or body aches
    • headaches

We've lost a little over 6,000 people in a nation of 300,000,000 and they've locked us in our homes, forced us to close our businesses, brought our lives to a screeching halt, and devastated our economy. On average we lose 8 times that many people to the flu every year. We're barely 10% of the way to a bad flu season.

These are just basic facts. I keep presenting these facts so people can see things from a neutral perspective. I have no interest in generating attention or gaining control of anyone. I just want people to open their eyes to what's going on, discover the facts, and think for themselves instead of blindly believing what they hear from the mainstream media.

Posted:  2 days, 4 hours ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

my opinion is that they are using this and trying to get mail in voting to beat Trump.

I have a way more interesting theory than that. I'll do some research on it and release it this weekend. If I'm right, it's a biggie!

Posted:  2 days, 4 hours ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

When they presented the 100,000 to 240,000 figures this week, they did so alongside an assumption of 1,500,000 to 2,200,000 deaths with no intervention.

Unfortunately, that makes no sense at all. Here's why.......

This is a virus. There is no cure for it. There's also no way of stopping the spread. The other day I showed a list of the top 20 states by population. Of those 20 states, 17 of them are on the list for the top states by infection rate. In other words, the virus has already spread everywhere evenly throughout the population. If we were stopping the spread you would see big pockets of the population that were almost unaffected, while other parts were ravaged by it. That's not at all what you're seeing. It's already everywhere.

Not to mention, we're all congregating in hospitals, grocery stores, Walmart, Home Depot and Lowe's, drug stores, banks, post offices, etc. We also have service workers circulating everywhere - electricians, plumbers, doctors, repairmen of all sorts, etc. We also have people back to work in factories building emergency devices. What about Amazon??? You have gigantic warehouses full of people all over the world!

They haven't stopped anything, and even the World Health Organization said all they've done is slow the spread by anywhere from a few days to a couple of weeks. You simply can't stop it.

In fact, they haven't even claimed they could stop it. Look at this famous "flatten the curve" projection they've given us. Notice that the number of cases will be the same either way, but they're claiming that if we slow the virus it will spread out the infections over a longer period of time.

0675625001585924174.jpg

So if you can't prevent the virus from spreading, you're barely even able to slow it down, and you can't treat it other than to put someone on a respirator hoping to help them breathe better, then how you could they possibly prevent over 90% of the deaths? By doing what?

That doesn't make sense. It's phony-baloney I'm afraid.

Posted:  2 days, 6 hours ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

Everyone keeps saying this virus will peak in 2 to 3 weeks. I sure hope so, atleast we will see if this virus lives up to hype. CBS national news just said the total positive cases topped 1 million people. World population is roughly 7.58 BILLION. That means that only .013% of people have tested positive and yet nearly every countries economy has gone to crap. IT ISNT EVEN CLOSE TO 1/10 of 1%.

The numbers all along have told a completely different story than what the media and politicians have told us. The question is why? I have more research to do, but I have a strong theory on what's behind this and it's fascinating. Stay tuned. I'll talk more about it this weekend.

Posted:  2 days, 6 hours ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

What are everybodys thoughts on Laredo, TX making the wearing of a mask when outdoors mandatory and enforced by fine or even arrest? I don't like it. I don't like any of this really.

Right now the things they're putting in place like that are absurd, but nothing more than annoying or tedious. When they start setting up checkpoints to force people to take mandatory vaccines, we'll know the apocalypse has arrived.

Posted:  2 days, 8 hours ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

The Crushing Of The American Economy

Let's talk about the economy a little bit, including what this means for truck drivers.

The devastation to our economy has been swift and brutal, though very few people are talking about it in the media. If you used coffins for burying businesses and the financial hopes of families across America, the media would have millions of them to show us.

An article from CNBC says It could take 4 to 5 years for many Americans to recover wages lost to coronavirus

“A lot of folks working for small businesses are probably going to experience something very similar to 2008, where they are losing everything,” he said. “It will take four to five years for them to recover.”

Trucking will continue to do well, at least for a while:

Transportation, on the other hand, topped the list, thanks to the increase in demand for delivered goods from the many people working from home. First-quarter wages grew 3.2% over the past year.

“In this case, I imagine we will see a huge spike in transportation and warehouse wages just because there will be a lot of demand.”

Weekly Job Losses of 6.6 Million

US weekly jobless claims double to 6.6 million

The torrent of Americans filing for unemployment insurance skyrocketed last week as more than 6.6 million new claims were filed, the Labor Department reported Thursday. That brings to 10 million the total Americans who filed over the past two weeks.

Unfortunately, those 10 million job losses are nowhere near the actual devastation to the economy already.

“Sadly, this probably still underestimates the actual numbers because of the overload in the systems and not every call getting through,” said Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab. “Even if we’re accurately calculating the numbers, we still likely have worse to come.”

Not only will we see millions more in the coming months, but business owners and contract workers are not reflected in this number, though they claim both will benefit from the upcoming stimulus package. Unfortunately, that will be far too little too late for many.

How big is this unemployment number?

Before the coronavirus shut down major parts of the economy, the highest week for claims was 695,000 in 1982. The Great Recession [of 2008] high was 665,000 in March 2009.

However, the sudden shutdown from social distancing policies caused a cascade of joblessness unlike anything the nation has ever seen.

“We’ve lived through the recession [of 2008] and 9/11. What we’re seeing with this decline is actually worse than both of those events,” said Irina Novoselsky, CEO of online jobs marketplace CareerBuilder.

Actually, what we're seeing is far worse than both of those events combined.

In the coming days we'll talk about what the governments are doing and some theories behind what's really happening around the globe. We've heard death estimates for the U.S. that started as high as 2 - 3 million, then drop to 1 million, then drop to 100,000 - 240,000, and in the coming days we may get my first prediction for what the numbers will show at the end of all this.

Will it turn out I was right from the start when I said this wasn't nearly as bad as they wanted us to believe? If you've been paying attention to the numbers instead of just the hype, that is already obvious. But in the end we'll see, and it won't be long.

Posted:  2 days, 9 hours ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

We will soon talk about various governments around the world, including ours, and changes that are happening. But not today. Today's update is about the virus itself.

Do travel bans really slow the spread of the virus?

From the article What China’s coronavirus response can teach the rest of the world:

Multiple analyses of air travel suggest that the Hubei travel bans, which stopped people leaving the province on planes, trains or in cars, slowed the virus’ spread, but not for long. A 6 March study published in Science by scientists in Italy, China and the United States found that cutting off Wuhan delayed disease spread to other cities in China by roughly four days.

Four days? That's not very inspiring.

The bans had a more lasting effect internationally, stopping four of five cases from being exported from China to other countries for two to three weeks, the team found. But after that, travellers from other cities transported the virus to other international cities, seeding new outbreaks. The team’s model suggests that even blocking 90% of travel slows the virus’s spread only moderately unless other measures are introduced.

So travel bans don't really do much except slow the spread slightly, but of course they devastate entire swaths of the economy and prevent people the 997 out of 1,000 of us who are in no danger from living their lives.

Interestingly enough, the World Health Organization actually recommends against travel bans:

Dozens of countries across Europe, the Americas and Africa and Asia have now introduced travel restrictions, although the WHO warns against them, saying they aren’t usually effective in preventing an infection’s spread, and they could divert resources from other more helpful measures and block aid and technical support, in addition to harming many industries.

Singapore has nearly stopped the spread altogether without stopping life there:

As the first cases popped up in Singapore, doctors promptly identified and isolated those people and started contact tracing, says Lee. The country still has under 250 COVID-19 cases, and it didn’t need to introduce the drastic movement restrictions used in China. Some events have been canceled, people with COVID-19 are being quarantined and temperature screening and other community measures are in place, says Lee. “But life is still going on,” he says.

It's important to understand that slowing the spread is not eradicating it. The virus doesn't dissolve into thin air:

China is suppressing the virus, not eradicating it, says Osterholm. The world will need to wait until about eight weeks after China resumes to some form of normality to know what it did or didn’t accomplish with its population-movement limitations, he says.

Deaths amongst the elderly

Again, my question is why haven't we simply quarantined the most fragile people in our society, the elderly and those with compromised immune systems? The virus has already spread nationwide, as all viruses do. If we can quarantine those who are at danger, the 3 out of 1,000, then the other 997 out of 1,000 of us in no danger can continue living our lives, feed our families, pay our mortgages, and run our businesses. To quarantine everyone makes no sense.

According to an article, 80% of US coronavirus deaths have been among people 65 and older, a new CDC report says — here's what it reveals about the US cases

80% of deaths associated with COVID-19 were among adults aged ≥65 years with the highest percentage of severe outcomes among persons aged ≥85 years," the report said.

I find it incredibly frustrating, and rather revealing, that no one is releasing the raw numbers showing how many people have died in each age group. They'll only give estimated death rates, which have no meaning because we have no clue how many people actually have the virus. I think if they revealed the demographics and prior health of those who have died from this virus it would have completely undermined their hopes of us treating this as an apocalypse.

In the end, the numbers will reveal the truth.

Posted:  3 days, 8 hours ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

Has anyone noticed how the person who started this conversation by exhorting us to escape to the woods and build a lean to so we could avoid the insanity, is now fanning those very flames of insanity with rhetoric, and then calling it truth and facts?

I know I certainly have!

I'm glad for this conversation though. It wasn't anything I had planned on doing every day, but the more information I've found the more important I feel it is. Digging up the real numbers and giving people a more balanced perspective is something I wish more people would do.

I'm working on today's now.

Posted:  4 days, 4 hours ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

Well, they have not stopped counting the dead in Italy or anywhere else. I don't know where that came from, but it's simply not true. Here is the chart of new deaths per day in Italy, updated yesterday:

0626312001585751951.jpg

Posted:  4 days, 6 hours ago

View Topic:

Future rookie driver from Iowa looking for recommendations on choosing a company

Welcome, Rachel.

The big dog is gonna be a big problem I'm afraid. Very few companies will allow a dog that size, and getting him/her in and out of the truck is going to be very difficult, though doable.

During the first couple of months, you'll have to leave him home because they won't allow him in the truck while you're in training. So prepare for that.

We do have a list of trucking companies that allow pets.

Seriously, with a dog that big your choice of companies will be very limited. I would search for companies that allow a dog that size, apply to all of them, and see if anyone offers you an opportunity. Then worry about making a selection if you find more than one.

Posted:  4 days, 7 hours ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

Brett, It seems like this Covid-19 is causing so much panic because it is has not been seen before.

Viruses mutate continuously. We see new viruses all the time. We just don't talk about them 24/7 on the news and show rows of coffins and hazmat suits. They are guessing there are several variations of this one already.

Posted:  4 days, 7 hours ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

How widespread is the virus in the U.S.?

What you'll hear on television is that the virus is beginning to spread across the country, but New York is taking the brunt of it. We must remain quarantined to prevent the spread of the virus.

Is this true?

Not according to the statistics. According to the statistics, the virus has already spread across the country from coast to coast, north to south.

If you look at the top 20 states by population and the top 20 states by the number of coronavirus cases, you'll see that 17 out of the 20 match up from coast to coast and north to south. So what does that say? That says that the virus has already spread nationwide and is distributed almost evenly amongst the population. Naturally, the largest numbers of cases are found in the most densely populated cities, and in the states with the highest populations.

  • Here is the list of states in order of coronavirus cases:

    • California
    • Texas
    • Florida
    • New York
    • Pennsylvania
    • Illinois
    • Ohio
    • Georgia
    • North Carolina
    • Michigan
    • New Jersey
    • Virginia
    • Washington
    • Arizona
    • Massachusetts
    • Tennessee
    • Indiana
    • Missouri
    • Maryland
    • Wisconsin
  • States listed in order of population:

    • New York
    • New Jersey
    • California
    • Michigan
    • Florida
    • Massachusetts
    • Illinois
    • Washington
    • Louisiana
    • Pennsylvania
    • Georgia
    • Texas
    • Connecticut
    • Colorado
    • Tennessee
    • Ohio
    • Indiana
    • Maryland
    • North Carolina
    • Wisconsin

Has this quarantine slowed the spread? Maybe. It's impossible to know, really. With people congregating in grocery stores, Walmarts, Home Depot & Lowe's, hospitals, and other places of business along with distribution from truck drivers, UPS, FedEx, and the service industry like plumbers, electricians, and auto mechanics it's possible we've slowed it down a little. But this notion that it's only now beginning to move across the country and that we must remain quarantined to prevent it from infecting other areas of the country is completely false according to the statistics. It's everywhere already, folks.

How many undocumented cases are there in the U.S.

According to a report done on China, Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus, the overwhelming majority of the infections were never detected:

We estimate 86% of all infections were undocumented

So far the numbers in the United States are:

188,592 detected cases

4,056 deaths

That would be a death rate so far of 2%. However, if you assume from experience in China that 86% of the cases are currently undetected, that would mean that the United States right now has:

1,347,000 cases

4056 deaths

That would give a current death rate of .3% which is still higher than the flu, but again, the flu is not deadly for 999 out of 1,000 people. If this .3% number is correct, that would mean this virus is not dangerous for 997 out of 1,000 people.

The director of the CDC said yesterday:

The challenge is the older, the vulnerable, the elderly, those with significant medical conditions where this virus has shown a propensity to have a significant mortality.

That's the part the news never talks about. Are healthy people really dying from this virus, or was this virus the final straw that pushed a very fragile and vulnerable person over the edge? We already know the answer to that.

Again, if we would have quarantined the weakest and most vulnerable people in our society from the start, which is something we should have been doing at all times, we would have prevented 98% of the deaths. The rest of us are just fine.

Posted:  4 days, 8 hours ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

JCTrucker, yes I deleted your post again like you knew I would, and I'll thank you for going elsewhere with this. You're too emotional, you're not presenting helpful facts, and you're attacking me for doing so. Here is the stat from the CDC website about the flu, which I remind people again is not deadly. It is only deadly for the 1 out of 1,000 most fragile people, normally the very elderly in nursing homes who are on their deathbed already:

Here are the stats from the CDC website:

0507882001585732534.jpg

Moe, I totally understand that you're panicked right now, and I get it. My 74-year-old mom had it and she's fine. I almost certainly had it and had no symptoms. Millions of Americans have it right now, though they have no way of testing for it so they won't give that figure, and 995 out of 1,000 of them will be just fine. In fact, most won't even have symptoms. But I totally understand why you're upset. You said:

Flu doesn't spread this fast and kill this amount of people in a short amount of time.

Actually this is considered a "flu-like virus" because of its symptoms and yes, the flu does spread this fast and it does kill this amount of people in this short of time. I'll demonstrate this with facts:

According to the article I'm linking to below, about 59,000 people died from the flu in the United States in 2018. If you use that number and divide it across 10 weeks you have an average of about 842 deaths per day, 7 days a week, for 10 straight weeks with peak days of 1,200 - 1,500 - none of which get reported in the news.

The coronavirus is only now beginning to reach death rates near that of the flu in the United States. The past three days have been an average of 832 deaths per day. It would have to maintain this pace for the next 10 - 12 weeks to reach the numbers we have from the flu.

Here is a quote from an article written yesterday: As NYC Nears 1,000 COVID-19 Deaths, How Does Pandemic Compare to Typical Flu Season?

On the world scale, it is tougher to compare COVID-19 and influenza, as the latter's death toll isn't always so clear. However, the WHO says that between 300,000 and 650,000 die each year from the flu or flu-related illnesses. That would put the projected global total for coronavirus (360,000) toward the lower end of that estimate, but the two would likely be comparable.

The estimate they're making right now is about 360,000 deaths from Coronavirus worldwide. Keep in mind that doctors were saying just a few short weeks ago that 2 - 3 million could die in the U.S. alone!

How many people have died worldwide from coronavirus at this point? 42,534

So for coronavirus to get to the low end of the flu statistics, it would have to kill 10 times as many people as it has so far. Think about that. All of this panic, all of these pictures on the news of rows of coffins, hazmat suits, and exploding red charts of death cases and we're only 10% of the way to killing as many people as the flu does on average every single year. 10% of the way. Just stop to think about that for a moment. 10 times as many people would have to die from coronavirus just to reach the lower end of the spectrum of deaths by the flu every single year.

Seriously, how many of you would have guessed that 10 times as many people would have to die in order to reach even an average flu season?

Now here is an example from that same article of the type of manipulation that causes panic. We know for a fact that 95% of the deaths from the flu happen within about a 10 - 12 week period each year, "flu season." This article takes the number of deaths in one month from coronavirus, which will also have a short season comparable to the flu, and projects it over an entire year and says, "if the number of New Yorkers who died as a result of COVID-19 in March was multiplied over the course of a year, the state could see more than 18,000 people die as a result"

That is why people panic! That is not how this works. It's not how any virus works. A virus sweeps through the population in a matter of a few months, does whatever damage it's going to do, and dissipates or mutates into something else. So why would you even put that figure out there? Simply to scare people into reading and watching more news. It's incredibly irresponsible, irrelevant, and self-serving.

Ok, more coming up in my next segment.

Posted:  4 days, 23 hours ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

reported Italy stopped counting the dead

That makes no sense. They're not going to just throw up their hands and say, "Welp, too many. I'm not counting anymore."

Posted:  5 days, 4 hours ago

View Topic:

What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

People are getting nuttier by the day.

Yeah, it's all building up. Every day it's rows of coffins, exploding growth charts, and dire warnings that millions of people could die in the U.S. alone. Most people will take the news at face value and buy-in. It doesn't seem to dawn on anyone that barely 3,000 people have died when they said it could be millions.

Of course, our politicians will claim it's because we took such powerful actions to stop the spread, but it's been found in every state in the country and we've only tested 132,000 people nationwide out of 327 million, which is only 1 out of every 2,500 people. So imagine how many people REALLY have it but haven't been tested, don't have symptoms, or have already gotten over it? So have they stopped it from spreading, saving millions of lives? I don't see any data to suggest that's the case.

I talk with my mom every day on the phone and I tell her the same things I report here on the website. She's always shocked at how the information I give her is the opposite of what she's hearing on the news. She's always like, "I don't know what to believe." I keep telling her the information is out there in plain sight but no one is looking for it. No one is digging for the truth or trying to get an objective perspective on what's really happening. They just listen to the news and take it at face value.

I have to admit I was never that way. I'm not one to believe anything until I can verify it myself. So I'll continue to dig through the numbers and report what I find. At least that will give people a different perspective and more information to consider for themselves.

Posted:  5 days, 6 hours ago

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What does a quarantine due to coronavirus mean for truckers?

Delco Dave, I agree with everything you said.

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